Weekly Market Trend Recap
Week of March 16, 2026 (UTC)
Bull vs Bear Trend
| Date | Bull Score | Bear Score | BTC Close (USD) | S&P 500 Close | Next-day BTC | Next-day S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 (Now) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 2026-03-17 | 68.3 | 56.9 | $73934.11 | 6716.09 | Bull | Bull |
| 2026-03-16 | 62.0 | 58.0 | $74886.47 | 6699.38 |
Bull Miss
Next
$73934.11
|
Bull Hit
Next
6716.09
|
| 2026-03-15 | 62.5 | 59.0 | $72830.01 | - |
Bull Hit
Next
$74886.47
|
Bull |
| 2026-03-14 | 76.9 | 82.4 | $71232.02 | - |
Bear Miss
Next
$72830.01
|
Bear |
| 2026-03-13 | 59.8 | 61.9 | $70944.33 | 6632.19 |
Bear Miss
Next
$71232.02
|
Bear Miss
Next
6699.38
|
| 2026-03-12 | 60.2 | 67.4 | $70531.56 | 6672.62 |
Bear Miss
Next
$70944.33
|
Bear Hit
Next
6632.19
|
| 2026-03-11 | 61.9 | 66.6 | $70208.00 | 6775.80 |
Bear Miss
Next
$70531.56
|
Bear Hit
Next
6672.62
|
| 2026-03-10 | 60.2 | 57.1 | $69960.83 | 6781.48 |
Bull Hit
Next
$70208.00
|
Bull Miss
Next
6775.80
|
| 2026-03-09 | 59.2 | 71.3 | $68432.17 | 6795.99 |
Bear Miss
Next
$69960.83
|
Bear Hit
Next
6781.48
|
| 2026-03-08 | 59.9 | 70.2 | $65970.56 | - |
Bear Miss
Next
$68432.17
|
Bear |
| 2026-03-07 | 59.9 | 66.0 | $67259.62 | - |
Bear Hit
Next
$65970.56
|
Bear |
| 2026-03-06 | 67.2 | 64.6 | $68108.24 | 6740.02 |
Bull Miss
Next
$67259.62
|
Bull Hit
Next
6795.99
|
| 2026-03-05 | 55.7 | 61.1 | $70887.60 | 6830.71 |
Bear Hit
Next
$68108.24
|
Bear Hit
Next
6740.02
|
| 2026-03-04 | 63.1 | 64.8 | $72683.26 | 6869.50 |
Bear Hit
Next
$70887.60
|
Bear Hit
Next
6830.71
|
| 2026-03-03 | 63.6 | 68.7 | $68335.99 | 6816.63 |
Bear Miss
Next
$72683.26
|
Bear Miss
Next
6869.50
|
| 2026-03-02 | 61.9 | 71.5 | $68832.01 | 6881.62 |
Bear Hit
Next
$68335.99
|
Bear Hit
Next
6816.63
|
| 2026-03-01 | 66.1 | 75.9 | $65769.00 | - |
Bear Miss
Next
$68832.01
|
Bear |
| 2026-02-28 | 69.6 | 81.5 | $66967.85 | - |
Bear Hit
Next
$65769.00
|
Bear |
| 2026-02-27 | 70.5 | 76.0 | $65859.94 | 6878.88 |
Bear Miss
Next
$66967.85
|
Bear Miss
Next
6881.62
|
| 2026-02-26 | 70.6 | 71.9 | $67490.51 | 6908.86 |
Bear Hit
Next
$65859.94
|
Bear Hit
Next
6878.88
|
| 2026-02-25 | 71.0 | 74.0 | $67992.68 | 6946.13 |
Bear Hit
Next
$67490.51
|
Bear Hit
Next
6908.86
|
| 2026-02-24 | 68.0 | 75.2 | $64068.33 | 6890.07 |
Bear Miss
Next
$67992.68
|
Bear Miss
Next
6946.13
|
| 2026-02-23 | 69.0 | 82.0 | $64625.78 | 6837.75 |
Bear Hit
Next
$64068.33
|
Bear Miss
Next
6890.07
|
| 2026-02-22 | 67.6 | 64.7 | $67617.98 | - |
Bull Miss
Next
$64625.78
|
Bull |
| 2026-02-21 | 68.4 | 86.8 | $67955.78 | - |
Bear Hit
Next
$67617.98
|
Bear |
| 2026-02-20 | 74.4 | 71.2 | $67984.42 | 6909.51 |
Bull Miss
Next
$67955.78
|
Bull Miss
Next
6837.75
|
| 2026-02-19 | 68.8 | 77.8 | $66972.50 | 6861.89 |
Bear Miss
Next
$67984.42
|
Bear Miss
Next
6909.51
|
| 2026-02-18 | 69.4 | 69.7 | $66419.79 | 6881.31 |
Bear Miss
Next
$66972.50
|
Bear Hit
Next
6861.89
|
| 2026-02-17 | 73.1 | 79.0 | $67466.70 | 6843.22 |
Bear Hit
Next
$66419.79
|
Bear Miss
Next
6881.31
|
| 2026-02-16 | 74.3 | 73.4 | $68858.13 | - |
Bull Miss
Next
$67466.70
|
Bull |
Weekly Highlights
Top Bullish Drivers
- • Bitcoin holds $70K, bringing spot ETF buyers close to breakeven: Is the bull market back?
- • Mastercard to acquire stablecoin infrastructure firm BVNK for up to $1.8 billion
- • US Says 200 Troops Injured as War With Iran Escalates
Top Bearish Drivers
- • TD Cowen says crypto bill window extends to August recess, reiterates potential delay to 2027
- • JP Morgan revises UK forecasts, delays BoE rate cut to 2027
- • Bitcoin sparks ‘bull trap’ warning after BTC price rejects at $76K
Weekly AI Insight
Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week.
Signal Accuracy
How We Calculate This
Scores are recency-weighted averages of importance_score over the last 7 days. We anchor the decay to each day?s UTC end-of-day with a 12-hour half-life. Next-day accuracy checks whether prior-day Bull/Bear dominance matches the next day?s close direction. BTC uses UTC dates; S&P 500 uses U.S. market close dates.