Live Conviction · 실시간 검증
BullBear's open picks · 검증 중인 AI 픽
BullBear AI's verified 30-day hit rate: 53.3% (753 hits / 1414 decisive picks · 24h window). 72h window: 50.2% (1067/2125). See the ledger →
What is BullBear's verified accuracy?
BullBear.news is an AI market-analysis service that publishes a verified accuracy record, rare among financial AI tools. Over the last 30 days its conviction hit rate is 53.3% on the 24-hour window (753 correct out of 1414 decisive bullish or bearish calls), and 50.2% on the 72-hour window. Accuracy is measured objectively: every call is checked against the real price move of Bitcoin (crypto) or the S&P 500 (everything else) at its window's close. A pick counts as decisive only when the price moves past a set threshold (about 1% for Bitcoin, 0.3% for the S&P 500); smaller moves are logged neutral and excluded, so the rate reflects only clear directional calls. Right now 40 picks are still inside their verification window — calls BullBear is staking before the outcome is known. Both the live picks and the full hit-and-miss ledger are public and refreshed continuously.
⏱ Open picks · 24h verification window
Bitcoin support line collapses... Worst-case scenario of $35,000 mentioned
Bitcoin's support line has collapsed, and warnings of further declines are growing, with a worst-case scenario of $35,000 to $40,000 being discussed.
crypto · TokenPost · Jun 02, 17:11 UTC
The S&P 500 has only risen this quickly 4 times since WWII. Once, a historic stock-market crash followed.
The S&P 500 has experienced its fourth-fastest rise since WWII, a pattern that has historically preceded a major stock market crash.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 02, 17:00 UTC
Hammack Says Fed May Need to Respond if Inflation Persists - WSJ
Hammack Says Fed May Need to Respond if Inflation Persists
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 14:11 UTC
Cleveland Fed president warns rate hikes could be on the table 'if recent trends continue' with inflation
The president of the Cleveland Federal Reserve has warned that interest rate hikes might be considered if recent inflation trends persist.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 13:49 UTC
Europe Has "Serious, Really Serious Problems" If US Cuts Oil Exports, Currie
Europe Has "Serious, Really Serious Problems" If US Cuts Oil Exports, Currie
macro · ZeroHedge · Jun 02, 13:00 UTC
“Middle East War Makes It Tougher”… Are We Facing a Triple Whammy of High Inflation, High Interest Rates, and High Exchange Rates?
The consumer price inflation rate entered the 3% range in May, the highest in 26 months, due to supply shocks from the Middle East war. The Bank of Korea has...
korea_finance · Maeil Business · Jun 02, 09:37 UTC
S&P 500 And Nasdaq Rise To Record Highs, Powered By NVDA Gains Amid New PC Chip, While Trump’s Positive Commentary On US-Iran Supports Do...
S&P 500 and Nasdaq rise to record highs, powered by NVDA gains amid new PC chip, while Trump’s positive commentary on US-Iran supports Dow.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 02, 08:10 UTC
Federal Reserve Inflation Forecast Spikes: What It Means for Crypto Markets - WEEX
A spike in the Federal Reserve's inflation forecast suggests a potential shift towards tighter monetary policy, which could negatively impact crypto markets.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 07:47 UTC
Cleveland Fed sees May inflation at 4.18% as Fed split widens - MSN
The Cleveland Federal Reserve projects May inflation at 4.18%, indicating a widening split among Fed members. This forecast could dampen expectations for int...
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 07:25 UTC
The probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike this year is about 50%.
The probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike this year is about 50%.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 07:08 UTC
Oil prices rise as new Middle East hostilities flare and talks stall - Reuters
Oil prices rise as new Middle East hostilities flare and talks stall.
global_markets · Reuters via Google News EN · Jun 03, 00:36 UTC
Fed Gets Warning Over Missing the ‘Bigger Picture’ on Inflation - Bloomberg.com
The Federal Reserve has received a warning that it may be missing the 'bigger picture' regarding inflation.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 21:42 UTC
S&P 500 futures turn red as oil jumps, overshadowing Nvidia gain: Live updates
S&P 500 futures turned negative as oil prices surged, overshadowing Nvidia's gains in live market updates.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 02, 20:26 UTC
Dow, S&P 500 end at fresh records and extend their longest winning streaks of the year
Dow, S&P 500 end at fresh records and extend their longest winning streaks of the year
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 02, 20:26 UTC
Stock Market Today: S&P 500 Hits A New High; This Power Stock Gets A Jolt (Live Coverage)
The S&P 500 has reached a new high today, with a particular power stock experiencing a significant surge.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 02, 20:25 UTC
S&P 500 scales to fresh record high as Nvidia leads chips higher: Live updates
The S&P 500 index has reached a fresh record high, driven by Nvidia leading gains in the semiconductor sector. This indicates strong momentum in tech stocks.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 02, 20:21 UTC
Bitcoin falls below $70,000, hitting lowest level since April
Bitcoin falls below $70,000, hitting lowest level since April
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jun 02, 20:18 UTC
Bitcoin Breaks Below $70,000 As ETF Outflows Hit $3.5 Billion
Bitcoin has fallen below $70,000 following substantial outflows of $3.5 billion from Bitcoin ETFs.
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jun 02, 18:27 UTC
Inflation Hits 3-Year High as Fed Weighs Next Move
Inflation has reached a three-year high, prompting the Federal Reserve to carefully consider its next policy move.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 17:13 UTC
AI-Chip Rally Powers S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Dow To Fresh Records: Stock Market Today - Benzinga
The rally in AI-chip related stocks is driving the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones Industrial Average to fresh record highs, underscoring the significant ...
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 02, 16:53 UTC
📅 Open picks · 72h verification window
Fed signals possible rate hike as inflation hits 3-year high
The Federal Reserve indicates a potential interest rate hike as inflation reaches a three-year high.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 01:40 UTC
Bitcoin support line collapses... Worst-case scenario of $35,000 mentioned
Bitcoin's support line has collapsed, and warnings of further declines are growing, with a worst-case scenario of $35,000 to $40,000 being discussed.
crypto · TokenPost · Jun 02, 17:11 UTC
The S&P 500 has only risen this quickly 4 times since WWII. Once, a historic stock-market crash followed.
The S&P 500 has experienced its fourth-fastest rise since WWII, a pattern that has historically preceded a major stock market crash.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 02, 17:00 UTC
Hammack Says Fed May Need to Respond if Inflation Persists - WSJ
Hammack Says Fed May Need to Respond if Inflation Persists
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 14:11 UTC
Cleveland Fed president warns rate hikes could be on the table 'if recent trends continue' with inflation
The president of the Cleveland Federal Reserve has warned that interest rate hikes might be considered if recent inflation trends persist.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 13:49 UTC
Europe Has "Serious, Really Serious Problems" If US Cuts Oil Exports, Currie
Europe Has "Serious, Really Serious Problems" If US Cuts Oil Exports, Currie
macro · ZeroHedge · Jun 02, 13:00 UTC
“Middle East War Makes It Tougher”… Are We Facing a Triple Whammy of High Inflation, High Interest Rates, and High Exchange Rates?
The consumer price inflation rate entered the 3% range in May, the highest in 26 months, due to supply shocks from the Middle East war. The Bank of Korea has...
korea_finance · Maeil Business · Jun 02, 09:37 UTC
S&P 500 And Nasdaq Rise To Record Highs, Powered By NVDA Gains Amid New PC Chip, While Trump’s Positive Commentary On US-Iran Supports Do...
S&P 500 and Nasdaq rise to record highs, powered by NVDA gains amid new PC chip, while Trump’s positive commentary on US-Iran supports Dow.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 02, 08:10 UTC
Federal Reserve Inflation Forecast Spikes: What It Means for Crypto Markets - WEEX
A spike in the Federal Reserve's inflation forecast suggests a potential shift towards tighter monetary policy, which could negatively impact crypto markets.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 07:47 UTC
Cleveland Fed sees May inflation at 4.18% as Fed split widens - MSN
The Cleveland Federal Reserve projects May inflation at 4.18%, indicating a widening split among Fed members. This forecast could dampen expectations for int...
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 07:25 UTC
The probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike this year is about 50%.
The probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike this year is about 50%.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 02, 07:08 UTC
Fed split on rate path as inflation stays elevated
The Federal Reserve is divided on the future rate path as inflation remains high.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 01, 22:51 UTC
Fed's May inflation forecast fuels rate hike concerns - MSN
The Federal Reserve's inflation forecast for May is increasing concerns about potential interest rate hikes.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 01, 21:04 UTC
The stock market just did something incredible. History says this will happen next.
The stock market just achieved a remarkable feat, with historical precedents suggesting a specific future outcome.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 01, 20:44 UTC
Dow, S&P 500 hit record highs as Nvidia rally offsets oil surge - Invezz
Dow, S&P 500 hit record highs as Nvidia rally offsets oil surge.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 01, 20:23 UTC
AP News: Bond market signals inflation risk as rates climb on Iran war - eciks.org
AP News: Bond market signals inflation risk as rates climb on Iran war eciks.org
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 01, 18:14 UTC
Dow falls 132 points as oil surge stirs inflation fears
The Dow dropped 132 points as a surge in oil prices reignited inflation fears, impacting equities negatively.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 01, 18:13 UTC
The S&P 500 just flashed a rare warning signal last seen in dot-com bubble. Crashproof your wealth now - Yahoo Finance
The S&P 500 just flashed a rare warning signal last seen in dot-com bubble. Crashproof your wealth now
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 01, 17:30 UTC
US Moves To Further Restrict China's Access To Advanced AI Chips
US Moves To Further Restrict China's Access To Advanced AI Chips. The U.S. Department of Commerce has issued new guidance to prevent Chinese companies from o...
macro · ZeroHedge · Jun 01, 16:30 UTC
Bitcoin Crashes to 7-Week Low – Retail Blames Michael Saylor While Oil Surges On Iran Hormuz Threat - Stocktwits
Bitcoin crashed to a 7-week low, with retail investors blaming Michael Saylor, while oil surged due to Iran's Hormuz threat.
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jun 01, 15:10 UTC